Major Shift

Meta Avocado AI Model 2026: The Post-Llama Era Begins

February 5, 2026 12 min read AI Models

Meta is building its most powerful AI model ever - codenamed "Avocado." It's 10x more efficient than Llama 4, led by Scale AI founder Alexandr Wang, and may mark Meta's shift from open-source to closed-source AI. Here's what founders need to know about the model that could reshape the AI landscape.

10x
More Efficient Than Llama 4
100x
More Efficient Than Behemoth
$14.3B
Wang's Scale AI Acquisition
H1
2026 Target Release

What Is Meta Avocado?

Avocado is Meta's next-generation large language model, built inside the newly formed Meta Superintelligence Labs (formerly TBD Lab). It represents a radical departure from the Llama model family that made Meta a champion of open-source AI.

According to internal memos first reported by The Information, Avocado has already completed pre-training and is outperforming every model Meta has ever built - by a wide margin. The model focuses on advanced reasoning, multimodal understanding (text, images, video), and coding capabilities, areas where previous Llama models struggled against OpenAI and Anthropic.

Why "Avocado" Matters

This isn't an incremental Llama upgrade. It's a new model family built from scratch by a new team with a new philosophy. If Llama was Meta's open-source gift to the AI community, Avocado may be Meta's play to compete directly with GPT-5 and Claude as a commercial product.

The Numbers Are Staggering

Internal benchmarks leaked from Meta Superintelligence Labs paint a picture of a model that's dramatically more capable than anything Meta has released:

That last point is especially notable. Most models improve significantly during the post-training phase (RLHF, instruction tuning, safety alignment). If Avocado is already competitive with GPT-5 and Claude before post-training, the finished model could be genuinely frontier-class.

Who's Building It: The Alexandr Wang Era

To understand Avocado, you need to understand the leadership shakeup that produced it.

In mid-2025, Mark Zuckerberg made one of the most expensive talent acquisitions in tech history: hiring Alexandr Wang, the 28-year-old CEO and co-founder of Scale AI, as Meta's new Chief AI Officer. The deal reportedly cost $14.3 billion (including acquiring Scale AI).

Wang now leads Meta Superintelligence Labs, an elite unit tasked with building frontier AI. His team includes:

"Avocado will focus heavily on advanced coding capabilities - a traditional weak point for previous Meta models compared to competitors."
- Alexandr Wang, internal session

Open Source vs. Closed Source: The Big Question

This is the story within the story, and it matters enormously for founders.

Meta spent years building Llama as the world's most important open-source AI. Llama models power thousands of startups, research projects, and enterprise deployments. The open-source strategy gave Meta enormous developer goodwill and made them the default choice for anyone who wanted AI without vendor lock-in.

Avocado may end all of that.

Multiple reports indicate Meta is seriously considering releasing Avocado as a closed-source, proprietary model. The reasons:

What This Means for Founders Using Llama

Don't panic. Llama 4 models (Scout, Maverick) remain available and Meta has not announced end-of-life for them. But if you're building long-term on Llama, watch this closely. Avocado going closed-source would signal that Meta's most capable models will require API access and per-token pricing, just like OpenAI and Anthropic.

Avocado vs. The Competition

Here's how Avocado is expected to stack up against the current frontier models when it launches:

vs. GPT-5.2 / GPT-5.3

OpenAI's latest models set the benchmark. Avocado's coding focus and multimodal capabilities suggest Meta is targeting GPT-5's strongest areas directly. The 10x efficiency gains over Llama 4 could translate to competitive or superior performance.

vs. Claude Opus 4.6

Anthropic's Opus line excels at reasoning and safety. Avocado's emphasis on advanced reasoning and Wang's hiring of ChatGPT co-creators suggests Meta is taking aim at the reasoning crown. Whether it can match Claude's safety profile remains to be seen.

vs. Gemini 3

Google's Gemini 3 currently leads benchmarks and has 750M monthly users. With Alphabet spending $185B on AI infrastructure in 2026, this is Avocado's most formidable competitor. The Apple-Gemini deal gives Google massive distribution Avocado can't match.

vs. Llama 4

Meta's own open-source models become the baseline. With 10-100x efficiency gains, Avocado represents a generational leap. The question is whether Llama continues to get investment or becomes a legacy product.

The Companion Model: Mango

Alongside Avocado (text/code), Meta is building Mango - a dedicated image and video generation model. While Avocado handles language and reasoning, Mango handles visual creation.

Together, they form Meta's answer to OpenAI's GPT + Sora stack:

For founders building visual or creative AI products, Mango could be significant - especially if it's integrated directly into Instagram and WhatsApp, giving it instant access to billions of users.

Timeline: What We Know

June 2025

Alexandr Wang joins Meta as Chief AI Officer. Scale AI acquired for $14.3B. TBD Lab (later Meta Superintelligence Labs) formed.

Q4 2025

Avocado pre-training begins. Originally targeted for end-of-2025 release, but timeline slips to Q1 2026.

January 2026

Internal memo reveals Avocado has completed pre-training. Early results show 10x efficiency gains over Llama 4 Maverick. Model described as "most capable" in Meta's history.

February 2026

Post-training phase underway. Reports of internal debate over open vs. closed release. Meta's $115-135B AI capex announced. Release now targeted for H1 2026.

H1 2026 (Expected)

Public launch of Avocado. Format (open weights vs. API-only) still undecided. Mango expected to follow.

What This Means for AI Founders

If Avocado Goes Closed-Source

If Avocado Goes Open-Source

The Realistic Bet

Given the competitive pressure, revenue needs, and Chinese AI lab concerns, a closed or hybrid release seems most likely. Meta may offer a smaller open-source version while keeping the full model behind an API - similar to how they handled different Llama 4 variants.

The $135 Billion Question

Meta plans to spend $115-135 billion on AI infrastructure in 2026. Combined with Alphabet's $185 billion, Microsoft's expected $80+ billion, and Amazon's significant investment, Big Tech is pouring roughly half a trillion dollars into AI this year alone.

Avocado is where a huge chunk of Meta's investment is pointed. The model isn't just a research project - it's expected to power:

This is not a model that exists in a vacuum. It's the intelligence layer for one of the world's largest technology ecosystems.

Bottom Line for Founders

Meta Avocado represents three things you should care about:

  1. The frontier is expanding: Another serious competitor means better models, lower prices, and more options for founders. Whether Avocado is open or closed, more competition is good for builders.
  2. The open-source era may be changing: If Meta goes closed-source, the assumption that "open-source AI will catch up" gets harder to defend. Plan accordingly.
  3. Platform bets matter: If you're building on Meta's platforms (Instagram API, WhatsApp Business, Facebook apps), Avocado integration could give you significant AI capabilities baked in. Watch for early access programs.

The model hasn't shipped yet, and Meta's timelines have slipped before. But the internal benchmarks suggest something genuinely impressive is coming. Whether it arrives as an open gift to developers or a closed competitor to ChatGPT will define the next chapter of the AI landscape.

Stay Updated on Meta Avocado

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